[ceejayoz]

> In my mind, what makes something a statistically safe assumption would mean that, more times than not, you'd be right.

I assume I should buckle my seatbelt.

Not every car ride results in an accident. But enough do.

[parineum]

It's safe to assume you won't get in an accident.

You _should_ buckle your seatbelt anyway because it's low effort, high reward in the unlikely case you get in an accident.

[ceejayoz]

> It's safe to assume you won't get in an accident.

If that were the case, I wouldn't need a seatbelt.

[parineum]

Indeed, your chances of needing a seatbelt for a particular car trip are very low but, over many trips, it becomes a safe assumption you'll be in an accident and, therefore, generally good policy to be prepared for that eventuality.