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by kibwen 96 days ago
Make a bet for "$PUBLIC_FIGURE will be dead by $DATE" and see how quickly people realize that this is just a distributed assassination contract.
3 comments
jamilton 96 days ago
Technically any market that's about someone doing something by a certain time can be an assassination contract, if you think the market will it enforce it that way. Can't do it if they're dead.
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DANmode 96 days ago
“Markets related to death are technically not supposed to be allowed at regulated prediction markets in the US.”

https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/the-chaos-of-khamene...

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tim333 96 days ago
It was kind of close to that betting on Trump to not win the last election - $3.2bn was bet on Trump vs Kamala and there was of course an assassination attempt although not related to the betting.
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