[menaerus]

> as price of SW goes down demand increases

I see this view very often being pulled into the debate but demand is not only driven through a (low) cost. Demand obviously cannot grow infinitely so the actual question IMO is when and how do we reach the market saturation point.

First hypothesis is that ~all SWEs will remain employed (demand will proportionally rise with the lower cost of development).

Second hypothesis is some % of SWEs will loose their jobs - over-subscription of SWE roles (lower cost of development will drive the demand but not such that the market will be able to keep all those ~30M SWEs employed).

Third hypothesis is that we will see number of SWEs growing beyond ~30M - under-subscription of SWE roles (demand will be so high and development cost so low that we will enter the era of hyperinflation in software production).

At this point, I am inclined to believe that the second hypothesis is the most likely one.