[peebeebee]

The rate at which AI is accelerating seems the same as other big inventions.

Some examples:

- Tim invented the WWW in 1989, but I'd took until around 2000 (10 years) to go to the web we now know with Streaming and Social Media.

- The first big mobile success (Nokia 3310) was in 2000, the 'end-stage' phone (iPhone 5 or something) was also 10 years later.

- Google Deepdream was in 2016, to "Will Smith eating spaghetti" in 2023, to now AI generated video literally unrecognisable from real.

I think we will be seeing some 'end-stage' AI in the next 5 years too, where the rate of improvements will sharply drop.

Robotics will probably be next? First company that can create an all purpose robot.

[bonoboTP]

My point was more about how dated something feels, how much it esthetically feels like a different dusty era.

[high_na_euv]

>AI generated video literally unrecognisable from real.

What?? Not even close

[randallsquared]

You may be thinking of video you saw generated last month.

[bonoboTP]

I think the tells of AI video are becoming more subtle, similar to language. It's no longer so much that the visuals are categorically impossible, such as mangled hands or impossible geometric arrangements of objects, but you can still see style and composition that is more frequent in AI video (but could be possible in a real video as well in principle).

Such as higher production quality, too beautiful people, a kind of stock photo sheen, etc. Of course if you use special LoRAs or prompts and input images, it's possible to leave the stock footage style, but most people don't bother with it, just like most people use stock ChatGPT in its default voice with its favorite trope-filled cadence etc.