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by Ethee 91 days ago
As a one boxer myself this is the way I see it. The problem is presented as a value proposition, how do I walk out of this room with the most money? This typically prompts people to think of this as a statistics problem, and you genuinely can use statistics to 'solve' this, but that has nothing to do with what seems to be the problems underlying premise. Which is, do you actually believe that the predictor can even make that prediction? I think most people who take things logically at face value (like Veritasium watchers) would accept the premise as it's set up. I think for the two boxers there's some doubt they have about the predictors actual abilities, or they think they can 'outsmart' the predictor. The problem is setup in such a way however that it's fundamentally impossible to outsmart, which is I think what makes this problem so interesting.