[tveita]

Sure, for instance, if all of them go through an 1 hour AI interview, then you might find a better candidate, at the cost of 1000 man-hours of work. You hire that person, another company opens a position, gets 999 applicants, send them all their own AI interview, and so forth.

How much would better would your hire be considering that you managed to check all 1000 of them, rather than just 50?

Assume that candidate fitness is a number normally distributed around 0 (half of them obviously being negative), that both you and the AI can perfectly pick out the best candidate, and that you picked the 50 to interview completely at random. The average actually seems to be around 40% better? Suprisingly decent. Is that improvement worth 1000 man-hours?

So attempt two here: maybe instead of each company sending candidates through an interview, there should be a common gatekeeper. All working age people take the same 1-hour AI interview, and the glorious overseer assigns them to the position they are best suited for.

(An actual answer here is you assess how important it is to get "the best candidate", and you interview enough people to get a reasonable approximation. The hour cost on your side is what keeps you honest. If wasting candidate time is free on your side, you're going to waste 500 man-hours of work for a 5% better result for you.)

[aakresearch]

Agree. Your post mirrors surprisingly well with mine of last year [0] - did you, by chance, happened to come across it? I said "you’d likely get approximately the same quality of candidates from a randomly selected 50 out of 5,000". And the main idea I was trying to convey is parallel to yours too: companies, consciously or not, try to find "the best candidate", while using completely inadequate "hiring funnel" approach. If that is their genuine need, they would be better off with "headhunting" approach. And the whole industry, businesses and candidates alike, would be better off if businesses recognize that the difference between "best" and "second best", or even "third best" is not meaningful (outside of C-suite) and not worth exponentially higher spend.

- [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45271736 (believe it or not, em-dashes are all mine, even though I regret now putting my original draft through LLM - even if it was for grammar-check only)