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by toast0 102 days ago
Ignoring concerns about the wisdom of the war; there's about three directions this can go:

Fizzle out: Strait reopens cause Iran needs ocean shipping.

Continue as now: oil trade disrupted, but using lots of missiles and drones and things; increased munitions demand leads to increased manufacturing jobs.

Boots on the ground: oil trade reopened, long term quagmire, probably more munitions production.