Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by QuiEgo 99 days ago
I'm curious what our industry looks like in 10 years as well.

I like the architecture analogy. An architect is not really focused on doing the actual building of a design, but understanding what's possible, what tools and techniques and materials are available, and figuring out how to put the pieces together to make a thing.

Right now, you're the architect who designs a house, but you're also the cement mixer, framer, drywall installer, plumber, electrician, and so on, all at once.

In this analogy, it's hard to design anything big like a skyscraper if you're bogged down by all of the minutia like picking out what type of nails to use for the framing and then installing them.

I think going forward, AI is going to do a lot of the non-architecture part of software engineering. We will all become architects.

The difference between us will be the scope of what we're qualified to design as we go through our careers - new grads will cut their teeth on the likes of designing shacks, principals design skyscrapers.

I think this also unfortunately means there's gonna be a lot less people in software. The industry will still exist though, but it's going to look way different.

I look forward to this being settled out, the uncertainty sucks.

1 comments

I also think in this analog, developers who are already architects are in the best place to ride out the wave of change, but long term the industry will have to figure out a way to fill the pipeline so some journeyman system will emerge.

If I was going to college tomorrow, I wouldn't touch a CS program with a 10 foot poll until all of this settles out though.

What would you choose if you went to college tomorrow?
Medical industry seems like the safest for keeping high-paying white collar jobs. Engineering and legal are likely to get disrupted. Knowing my interests now, I’d probably go into flight school and try to become a commercial pilot.