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by sharp_runner_84
101 days ago
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The interesting side effect of officials being banned is it reduces liquidity on geopolitical contracts, which makes the remaining prices less informative. Right now on Kalshi, some policy contracts have so little depth that a single 5k order can move the price 10+ cents. That thinness already makes the prices unreliable as forecasts — banning one of the most informed participant classes just makes it worse. |
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