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by chronolitus 97 days ago
10 years? These days ten years feel like an absurdly long time in the future.
1 comments

“Attention is all you need” was published 9 years ago, and gpt3.5 burst onto the scene 4 years ago.

Progress is slower than people seem to think. Of course AI as a field is half a century old.

But on the other hand, AI had a period of rapid acceleration 40-ish years ago and was then hit by an AI winter. We might hit that winter again in a year and all predictions made today are off the table.