[genxy]

Not just insider info. Folks in the government can make those things happen, making the payout for super rare events even higher and more catastrophic. It is obvious how prediction markets could be used to put blind hits out on people.

[yieldcrv]

that’s kind of the point, everyone is just cooperating right now unless you are a head of state

it’s what the crypto anarchist paper Assassination Markets described in the 90s

freaked the FBI out at the time, I think that guy just got out of prison for “unrelated” reasons

[genxy]

That was an interesting read on Jim Bell.

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2026/03/at-largest-ice-...

> Staff at the nation’s largest Immigration and Customs Enforcement detention facility have placed bets on which detainee will be the next to die by suicide, according to new reporting from the Associated Press based on 911 calls and detainee accounts.

> Owen Ramsingh, a legal permanent resident who spent several weeks at the Camp East Montana detention facility in Texas, told AP that he overheard a security guard talking about a betting pool for which detainee would next die by suicide. The guard said he had paid $500 into the pot, which would all go to the winner with the most accurate predictions on detainees harming themselves.