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by OutOfHere 108 days ago
What is not clear is how the US received such faulty intelligence. It is also strange how such a blunder happened on day 1. Did some followed Iranian targets go hide in the school? If so, did Iran have a hand in engineering misleading intel for the US, or was it solely the US' doing?

Today a boy's school in Iran was affected by an explosion. The intelligence received by the US chronically seems troubled.

3 comments

I’m afraid Israel will not hesitate from turning Iran into rubble just like what they did in Palestine.

Israel definitely has a lot of moles in Iran. They weren’t bothered to confirm whether the target is a school. US earlier tried to turn it on Iran’s failed defense launch.

Israel doesn't want/need Iran's land. It wants the regime toppled, and the country split apart 10 ways so the next regime is smaller and more checked.
CNN: "suggests that the United States military was responsible"

US Military: investigating whether it's responsible.

"Mandeep": rants about Israel.

I read secondhand that it was used for military purposes during the Obama years and it appears no one tagged it as now being used as a school for the past 10 years. No idea if it's correct, but it's plausible they were operating off of extremely stale intelligence.
that sounds plausible. For people not tracking, the concept of intelligence at play is "object based development". One analyst drops a label, brief synopsis, whatever, and it just sits there for the next person who comes along. The world view gets more accurate over time, but there's a recency error that's hard to measure until the probability function collapses with a measurement.
> The world view gets more accurate over time

Is that true? I can imagine it's true at first, going from zero bits of information to 1, etc. But information rots over time, and eventually a collection of old information may rot faster than new information improves the world view.

Also, the overall world view isn't especially important, at least not in this case. Each element's accuracy is what's important.

Hopefully each tag is accompanied by a date, at least.

The collapse in this case being the murder of children at school.
Sounds like (war) criminal negligence.
Yeah, it being an honest mistake moves this down from a crime you should hang for to, also still a crime you should hang for.
Gemini lost context and hallucinated some tanks.