Ask HN: How do C-level come up with % on their bold predictions?

[freitzzz]

I'm tired of seeing news about big tech C-level saying that >90% of code will be generated by XXXX year. How do they come up with this % indicators? Do they have some kind of insight data that we peasants don't have access to, or these numbers completely made up?

[reliefcrew]

Yes, they have data many don't have access to. And, they make "educated guesses" based on this data as well as the expertise available to them.

Their predictions may certainly be embellished as well. However, their statements can also be taken out of context or misinterpreted.

None of this is in question. The challenge is to make a careful judgment of your own.

[breve]

They make it up.

[JohnFen]

Those estimates are sales messages, nothing more, and so are untrustworthy.