Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by barbarr 109 days ago
Can't wait to see Gary Marcus's rebuttal
2 comments

Why would he need to make rebuttal, they back up a lot of his claims and show he's becoming more accurate with each year that goes by. The ares where he's less accurate are largely prediction that haven't had time to come to fruition or exaggerated for rhetorical purposes, sometimes you need to use hyperbole to get through to people.

I don't know if this will cause a ton of capital destruction, I doubt it, it will probably destroy a bunch of the slot machine/gambling addicts who are paying 5k a month on their credit cards thinking an autocomplete API is going to provide a profitable business.

A large part of this is a scam, just like many aspects of crypto were scams while others were not, this hype is very similar to NFT/Crypto hype from 2018-2023. Yes, some things were born out of those industries that are genuinely useful, a lot were not, its the same with AI.

Potential AI winter, I think there will be a "winter" just like crypto, but even during crypto's winter, some companies continued to operate and innovate but 90% disappeared. I believe the same thing will happen, and soon. Watch what happens to companies like Perplexity over the next 12-16 months lol.

His rebuttal? His critics' rebuttal?
I feel he'd want to rebut the use of an LLM for this task to begin with (i.e. find issues/nitpicks with the LLM judgment whether it said he's right or wrong)