Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by mark-r 115 days ago
There's nothing new about this pattern. When the tractor was invented, the farmer didn't get to knock off early. He just started producing 10x more. Then the tractors got bigger and more powerful, and the things you used them with got more sophisticated too and suddenly you're producing 100x more.
1 comments

And now there are 1% of the number of farmers that there used to be
And the only people who could afford to tractor at scale are Cargill/Monsanto who bought out most of the small/medium-sized farms while leaving farms that didn't take the offer to slowly die...
And yet there isn't widespread unemployment. Fewer farmers were needed so fewer people became farmers. Food became cheap and plentiful. Everyone else went on to do other things that they couldn't afford to do before. Software will do the same; we will make more software with fewer people and it will become ubiquitous to the point that people will just quickly generate whatever software they need rather than do many monotonous tasks manually.
That argument does people who have invested decades of their lives into software engineering a lot of good.
That may work if the scope that AI wanted to takeover wasn't scoped to nearly every job that involves a screeen.