[ben_w]

Notwithstanding that I do not believe he is competent, Musk is currently talking about turning the entire moon into a space data center factory, specifically with a capacity so large that the resulting products of said factory could freeze the tropics just by blocking out the sun.

It is fortunate for him that those of us who understand the implications of this, do not believe he can do it.

Do you believe he could do it? Would you act against him now, when most people think his success in this endevour is implausible? Or wait until he demonstates all the parts necessary, at which point action against him is impossible? Or do you believe his claims that him doing this will render work unnecessary rather than, as I fear, making it impossible without also making it unnecessary?

What about everyone else that you think would be on your side? If you need everyone on-side, timing matters too.

[ahf8Aithaex7Nai]

Sorry, man, but I can't follow the plot. Why exactly do data centers from the moon block out the sun and freeze the tropics and make work unnecessary? Serious question: Are you okay? I hope you're just making fun of my last answer a little.

[ben_w]

> Why exactly do data centers from the moon block out the sun

Musk wants to make a data center *factory* on the Moon, with an output of 1000 TW/year of satellites which are (supposedly) going to be launched from the moon.

I have done the maths on this, and suspect Musk used Grok for this plan, those numbers are on the edge of what's plausible for the thermodynamic limits of rearranging atoms, even with engineering that nobody's actually designed yet. But let's disregard my mere opinion that this is beyond him and say he solves all those technical difficulties:

If you built that much each year, given how long it lasts, the physical size of that many watts of PV-powered satellites is enough to block enough sunlight as to lower the average temperature of planet Earth by 33°C immediately, without accounting for any additional affects from how ice reflects more light than unfrozen land and water. Those feedback mechanisms can plausibly make it more like 48°C cooling.

> and make work unnecessary

Note: I am not making that claim, Musk is. Musk doesn't have a good answer to this, just vague platitudes about how AI can do all the work, not why his AI and his robots are going to give everyone (and not just his fans) luxury.

> Serious question: Are you okay?

No. I see the world's richest man sowing chaos, and demanding the removal of all checks on his plan to gain even more power both by political campaigning and by using phrases such as "robot army" within his own companies, and when his AI calls itself "Mecha Hitler" the military of the world's largest economy decides to pay for its use and then goes on to make threats against other competing AI companies that don't want to be involved in the military.

[ahf8Aithaex7Nai]

We are living through a time that seems like a completely crazy sci-fi plot. I don't understand why Musk is currently the richest person in the world. I don't understand what is going on politically, especially in the US and around the world, geopolitically, economically, socially, and in terms of information technology. It's as if the world I've known for the first two-thirds of my life has completely drifted away into an absurd alternate reality. It takes a bit of effort for me to keep a clear head. What I can say with some certainty is that someone who actually intends to do what Musk is announcing would behave differently in many ways than Musk does. Musk is ultimately a (rather successful) impostor. I assume that his communication is aimed at eliciting certain reactions from the public and is less about negotiating plausible realities on a factual level. That's why I'm not so interested in playing out scenarios based on the content of his grandiose announcements. I am more concerned about the destabilizing effect and about a third world war, which we may already be in the midst of.

[ben_w]

Same.

Just to re-emphasise: I also don't believe Musk.

The earlier question is: when do you decide to believe someone like him? When do you act against someone like him who you do believe? Waiting until he is credible is waiting too late, acting before then makes you look like the villain and you don't get much support.

[ahf8Aithaex7Nai]

> act against someone like him

What do you mean? I have the day off today. I'm sitting here in my underwear listening to my washing machine in the background. The sun is shining outside. I went for a walk in the park next door earlier. In an hour (Germany time), I'll cook something for lunch and then go to the garage to put a new rear tire on my motorcycle. Tomorrow, sauna; Sunday, bike ride; and on Monday, back to the office. What I'm trying to say is: I'm not the protagonist whose decision determines whether Musk f*ks up the world or not. And that's not a question of my priorities, but of a realistic assessment of the real scope for action.

If you want to have a real chance of putting someone like Musk in his place, you need to join the largest possible political collective with the right agenda. But looking at the course of the conversation, my respectful recommendation (assuming you're not trolling) would be to focus on your own well-being first.

[ben_w]

I mean your own words up-thread:

> I want to live. And if you threaten my life, I will defend myself with whatever means I have at my disposal. It makes no difference whether you threaten me by taking away my livelihood or by withholding it from me. You therefore have a choice. Either you value my life as you value your own, or there will be war between us. And that is a war you will not win, because you are not only waging it against me, but against all people whose right to life you wish to deny.

Like, OK, is that just you blowing off steam or do you have a specific threshold where you'll do anything?