|
|
|
|
|
by rgmerk
115 days ago
|
|
Hmmm. If we do simple extrapolation based on a battery density improvement rate of 5% a year, it takes about 30 years to get there. So it's not as crazy as it sounds - and it's also worth noting that there are incremental improvements in aerodynamics and materials so that gets you there faster... However, as others have pointed out, the battery-powered plane doesn't get lighter as it burns fuel. |
|
Expecting a 5% / year growth rate sustained for 30 years is very optimistic. It is far more likely that we'll hit some kind of diminishing return well before that.