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by PurpleRamen 134 days ago
> Because the source of plastics in the ocean is traced back to those places.

That's actually a bit disputed. But ok, it wasn't just really obvious from your writing what you meant here.

> China is mostly powered by coal and they are still building new coal plants.

Yes, and no. China is moving away from coal, they reduced their share by 20% in the last decades. It's now around 57% of their total usage. The number of new coal plants is also a bit disputed. First, they modernize many coal plants by building new, more efficient ones, and shutting down the old plants. Second, they are building many backup-plants, which are not really used outside of emergencies, which does happen from time to time it seems. And third, they are master of overplanning. Around 80% of their planned coal-plants were actually cancelled in the last years before the building started for real. This seems related to how their local and federal levels are handling budgets.

The only real problem is that their absolute coal consumption is still growing, because their consumption as a whole is growing. But long-term, there is likely a point where it's reaching its peak, and start shrinking. And speculation is here, that we are talking about ~10 years, not 50. So at that point, China, which is already producing for the whole world, will have acquired another good selling point which European countries have to beat.

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> The only real problem is that their absolute coal consumption is still growing

As of last year I don't even think this is true. Do you have sources?

No, my source only included data until 2024; the recent numbers weren't added yet. Good to hear they reached a first bump.