[TallboyOne]

I'm no mathematician, or even close, but I don't believe only a person's beliefs translate to their real-world chances of success. A lot has to do with your work ethic, motivation, ability to work long hours, focus, upbringing etc.

I also don't think 100% of people who start businesses believe they can succeed. I'm sure a large percantage are trying to wing it and hope they get lucky.

[Negitivefrags]

I'm not saying that a person's belief translates to their success. In fact I'm saying just the opposite. I would imagine most people starting a business think that their chances are higher than the average person because they are special in some way.

The article is effectively saying "Statistically you are probably not special, so you may want to reconsider taking the risk".