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by chris_va
152 days ago
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It's a very real possibility, it's just a very slow exponential. If you have 100,000 satellites, and each collision produces 50,000 pieces of shrapnel with some distribution of altitudes and atmospheric drag, it's not that hard to do the math. The cinematic portrayal of cascading failure (ala the movie Gravity) is completely insane, but that doesn't mean this isn't a real problem on a 100 year timescale. |
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One, it is. And two, you need insane distributions to get over the energy requirements of plane changes.
> on a 100 year timescale
Irrelevant in LEO.