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by sinenomine
164 days ago
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It's a hard problem, but deep learning is very scalable and general and the pressure for general robotics to be solved is very strong in China and US, given the demographic shifts. I think the proliferation of humanoids is a near certainty over the next 8 years, ofc it won't be uniform and licensed labor won't be replaced. Note that we are only starting to see the (much smaller compared to llms) DL data scaling in robotics - almost entire previous research has been achieved with very small robot fleets. I think scaling data from industrial-sized robot fleets will lead to quick solution of various general robotics capabilities. |
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Because every time I think of something, either an existing industrial setup can or will do it better, or a special-purpose device will beat it.
So general intelligence + general form factor (humanoid) sounds great, if feasible. But what will it do exactly? And then let's do a reality check on said application.