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by etempleton 162 days ago
I have been dismissed for saying this and using self driving cars as the example. Getting from 95 percent there to 100 percent with AI is going to be nearly impossible. Not impossible, but the time and resource allocation to get one use case, such as self driving cars to a point of usability is going to cost trillions and take decades. Anything that we might want to automate with AI the question needs to be asked is if automating this task worth billions if not trillions of dollars and decades of time.

AI makes a really big first impression. And it looks good at first glance, especially if you aren’t good at/ knowledgeable at what you are asking it to do, but as soon as you know anything about what you are asking it for / to do you realize it is wrong or bad and sometimes incredibly so.

I don’t want this to be dismissive of the technology. It is already having an impact and will continue to do so, but expectations and investment need to be tempered.

1 comments

Humans aren't 100% perfect drivers. The question is not, "When will FSD reach 100%," it's "When (if ever) will FSD be better than humans."
And apparently that is perpetually five years from now.