[sneak]

A lot of people either a) don’t know about the good tools or b) aren’t using them enough/properly.

There is a ton of anti-AI sentiment, and not all LLMs are equal. There is a lot of individual adoption that is yet to occur.

I know at least two startups that are one person or two people that are punching way above their weight due to this force multiplier. I don’t think it’s industry-wide yet, but it will be relatively soon.

Check back in on your assessment in a year.

[JamesSwift]

Exactly my opinion. Im pretty pragmatic and open minded, though seasoned enough that I dont stay on the bleeding edge. I became a convert in October, and I think the most recent Sonnet/Opus models truly changed the calculus of "viable/useable" so that we have now crossed into the age of AI.

We are going to see the rest of the industry come along kicking and screaming over the next calendar year, and thats when the ball is going to start truly rolling.

[latexr]

> I don’t think it’s industry-wide yet, but it will be relatively soon.

> Check back in on your assessment in a year.

We’ve all read that, and claims grander than that, multiple times over the past few years. And next year someone will say it again.

[sneak]

No, before the tools weren’t good enough.

Now they are. Not everyone is using them yet, but they will. There’s zero doubt about it anymore. Lots of people are still not up to date on what is currently possible.

[latexr]

All of that has been said before, too.

> Not everyone is using them yet, but they will. There’s zero doubt about it anymore.

That’s not true. On HN and elsewhere you’ll find no shortage of folks who don’t use those tools because they don’t want to. People who find enjoyment in doing the thinking and programming themselves, for whom doing it is the goal. For others there are legal and moral considerations. It’s unrealistic to think everyone will be using LLMs for coding, they won’t. Not everyone thinks alike, but for some reason proponents seem incapable of understanding that. All it takes is a bit of empathy and listening to your fellow humans.

[throwaway777x]

I think the Deepseek moment that everyone started trying Deepseek and chain of thought was the weekend of 1/25/25 and 1/26/25.

The progress lived up to the hype the past year. To say otherwise is to be either intellectually dishonest or you just didn't bother using the tools in order to feel how much progress was made.

I just went back to a project that I remember the models struggled with. It felt like years ago but it was from July. Even July to now is night and day different.

[latexr]

> To say otherwise is to be either intellectually dishonest or you just didn't bother using the tools

We can’t have a proper discussion if you start by making wrong and uninformed statements about a stranger and promptly assert that you believe anyone who disagrees with you is either malicious or wilfully ignorant. People can experience the same things and still reach different conclusions or have different opinions.

When the same revolutionary messaging is touted over and over with revised dates whenever the previous prediction hasn’t panned out, anyone is justified in not buying that “this time is different” when that has been said multiple times before.

It’s the boy who cried wolf. Sure, maybe someday it will be true, but save it for when it is instead of repeatedly saying “next year”, “in the next five years”.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Boy_Who_Cried_Wolf

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_predictions_for_autono...