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by aoeusnth1 170 days ago
There is already evidence provided of it! METR time horizons is going up on an exponential trend. This is literally the most famous AI benchmark and already mentioned in this thread.

https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-com...

https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-14-how-does-time-horizon-vary-...