[Terr_]

Yeah, it's kind of a Bayesian probability thing, where the impressiveness of either outcome depends on what we expected to happen by default.

1. There are bajillions of dollars in incentives for a study declaring "Insane Improvements", so we should expect a bunch to finish being funded, launched, and released... Yet we don't see many.

2. There is comparatively no money (and little fame) behind a study saying "This Is Hot Air", so even a few seem significant.