[jacquesm]

It's already happening. My buddies are in the 'late bloom' phase of their careers and they are doing quite well as of late.

AI supported coding is like four wheel drive: it will get you stuck but in harder places. The people that use these tools to reach above the level of their actual understanding are creating some very expensive problems. If you're an expert level coder and you use AI to speed up the drudgework you can get good mileage out of them, but if you're a junior pretending to be a senior you're about to cost your employer a lot of $ hiring an actual senior.

[sod22]

One thing I’ve noticed is that some folks are over-confident about the benefits of LLM’s and seemingly gloss over the implicit costs.

And for good reason - the ill disciplined human body optimises for short term benefits. The disciplined body recognises the flaw in this and thinks much broader.

[atonse]

But wouldn’t the models get better at fixing complicated code eventually?

[kloop]

We don't know. We seem to be hitting diminishing returns, but we don't exactly know where it will stop

[aspenmartin]

Is there a source for this? Scaling laws work and we have about 4 orders of magnitude in the exponential growth before we run into true bottlenecks