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by oortlieb 4997 days ago
The method you've used is similar to ones that FOREX traders use to value traditional currencies, which would speak to its validity. A market-basket of goods is defined, and a relative exchange rate for two currencies is based on the price differences of the two market-baskets.

A potential issue with this analysis is that your market-basket only contains illegal items -- however, even if your final valuation isn't accurate, it suggests to me that there are likely other cross-market pricing inconsistencies. I assume those are what you're interested in finding.

1 comments

Pretty much, I'm simply trying to understand what the fundamental value of the currency is. The reason i'm using illegal goods is that they are the only ones i can find whose exchange must be in bitcoing (yes there are some other smaller goods but nothing on that scale).