[bpt3]

So you would consider a CRUD app with some basic business rules to be novel? Basically meaning that any software that requires any development effort is novel?

That's a completely valid definition of worthwhile software, but to claim it's impossible to create an estimate to complete said development is absurd.

[collingreen]

You just keep saying things are absurd or obvious but not putting anything behind it.

I hope this isn't a semantics game where things like "1 - 6 months" counts as an estimate in this context.

The point way back up this thread was accurate timelines for complicated, novel work have large error bars but those error bars aren't as bad as the equivalent error bars on estimating whatever "return" it is being pitted against.

[bpt3]

I wouldn't consider something like "1-6 months" as a valid estimate, as that would indicate there is too much uncertainty and it needs to be broken down into subtasks that can be estimated with much less variance.

I've written what is probably several pages now in response to two individuals who are redefining terms in order to play the exact semantic games you mentioned, but in order to claim no estimation of any sort needs to be done. We seem to be done talking past each other now that I explicitly pointed out their usage of non-standard terms and my suspicions of why (having also unfortunately lived through software development managed by Gantt chart and other unpleasant experiences where someone who had no idea what they were managing was in control of a project), which is fine with me.

Feel free to describe your experience in practice when working in an organization where software developers answer to no one but themselves and are never asked for any justification for their progress or any projections of when they will be finished (both of which would require estimation to provide).

If you are able to tell stakeholders something like you'll be done in 1-6 months or provide no insight at all into when your tasking will be done, do no tracking of progress internally, and perform no collaboration around the completion of synchronous tasks within your team, I'll acknowledge no estimation is taking place during that process.