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by balamatom
197 days ago
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Oh, it absolutely can work! What you describe makes sense, I'm just not particularly optimistic that it will be allowed to happen at all. If it's a technological inevitability, what I expect to happen is for a self-defeating version of your model to be rolled out at a snail's pace, so that the people who depend on the old ways have the time to live their life, die, and be replaced by ones who'll be like "hey, this was tried last generation and didn't work" (because it wasn't actually tried). Meanwhile the people excited about it will have time to go through enough stages of grief in recursive iterations to forget what they were even excited about. |
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Maybe, but in a recent comment of mine I alluded to a "long-tail" of AIs popping up. So there's a possibility in one of those. But if no one has any money to invent or create, or they feel there is a risk in sharing, it won't really work too well.
I bet to get to AGI, humans will have to actively help: it can't be a parasitic relationship. People are pessimistic about AI, but why can't it lead to free energy, patent obsolescence (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sNR_6aBQyDk), supernatural abilities and utopia instead? Wait those things will come, they will just remain with the special people in the "breakaway civilization," perhaps.