[seanmcdirmid]

If you compared Pelosi to other investors in San Francisco, you wouldn’t see much of a difference. Anyone who has gone heavy into tech in the last couple of decades has outperformed the market at considerable risk of going broke if there was a tech bust. Compare Facebook or Google to an index fund, especially before index funds decides to go heavy into FAANGs.

People who make/have more money also have more appetite for risk and also in general make more returns. Even without insider trading, being able to take a lopsided position on tech with the expectation that if it loses you still have a comfortable life, that is how the rich become richer.

[phkahler]

That doesn't explain why persons in leadership positions outperform other members of congress. Presumably they all talk to each other and could share trading strategies. There's no reason not to unless your strategy involves inside information that might get you in trouble if spread around.

[seanmcdirmid]

It actually does, if you believe that the people in leadership positions have been earning money for longer and have more experience in investing. You could also easily argue that they are more successful in general than congress people of similar tenure who aren't in leadership positions.

You are basically comparing the CEO to middle layer management, and then what do you expect? You need to do a more balanced comparison than that to show an actual discrepancy. Or maybe get congress to dole leadership positions out at random and then compare?

[bumby]

I’m not defending congressional trading, but there are potentially other confounding variables (emphasis on potential). Leaders may tend to be older, have more appetite for risk, or leadership may correlate with wealth/status because “the connected” can also raise more money etc etc. Unless those types of variables are controlled for, it should temper how strongly we draw conclusions.