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by 317070 203 days ago
> Hint: it’s because every point on that plot is a wild extrapolation.

I don't understand, or do not spot the issue you are seeing. Could you expand a bit?

1 comments

The plot you're citing is an imaginary projection 100 years into the future given what was known up to the year on the x-axis. That is why the units are 100x larger.

The uncertainty on the rate of change is quite large (relatively), therefore, any 100 year projection has huge, compounded uncertainty. Figure 2 is not useful for determining anything about the present.