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by fghorow 204 days ago
'Once in 300 years'???

While the functional form of the statistical distributions themselves might still be valid, certainly the old parameters are no longer so.

2 comments

That is a severity scale using anecdotal past events. It isn't intended to be a sound statistical claim.
It's not even that, it's just the heaviest rainfall recorded in 300 years
Nobody knows the future. Most of the time we just use historical data directly, or project linearly.

These kind of headline is very misleading. Need better way to communicate these.