[chris_va]

Geopolitics discussion question...

As a corollary, would the ~$1T of (mostly?) state-backed investments into the developed world then imply a fairly large exposure to potential asset forfeiture/freezing in the event of a Taiwan invasion (analogous to the ~$300B in Russian assets frozen pending Ukraine)?

[FridayoLeary]

People assume China is an incredibly smart entity who won't make major errors like Western nations do, when everything we know tells us authoritarian regimes are more incompetent. I don't think it's so deep. They are an economic superpower with deep pockets and are not averse to taking huge risks. So far it's going their way. Another thing is that they can break half the world in a couple of months if they like. They even did it once already by accident.

[Incipient]

I mean you could be right that the Chinese govt was simply investing in overseas businesses...and by pure chance it HAPPENED to be one with a list of various CIA personnel.

...even I don't believe in coincidences so convenient however...

[FridayoLeary]

Not saying this one wasn't deliberate. Just that in general don't assume they never make mistakes.