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by gruez 211 days ago
That's where the "randomly choose 50" comes in. Even if your initial list of 100 topics was biased, randomly picking from that list allows you to do a comparison between topics that got randomly picked vs ones that didn't. In other words, a randomized controlled trial, the gold standard in experiments. If the group that got randomly picked got a 40% hit rate (ie. that corresponded to ads), but group that didn't randomly get picked got 41%, then you can probably conclude they're not listening to you, even if a 40% hit rate seems spooky. On the other hand if there were significant differences (eg. 40% vs 20%), then there might be other stuff going on worth investigating.