[panarky]

If a science experiment works and is transformational can be worth a trillion dollars, how much is it worth if it has a 5% chance of being transformational?

[startupsfail]

What if it is a 99% chance of being transformational and the results of that transformation are completely unpredictable?

[WalterSear]

What it's transformational but takes a decade or so, instead of a year or so?

It's not like this isn't following exactly the same hype cycle as every other technological transformation.