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by amanaplanacanal 236 days ago
Why do you think quantum computers are going to get that good in the next couple of years? I suspect the odds of that happening are approximately zero.
2 comments

Why, you ask? It is because AI won't get that good in the next couple of years so the hype people are positioning themselves for the next cycle.
Because advanacements accelerate with geometric progression, not linear one.
You asked the question, but don't want to hear the answer.

Advancements are more often logarithmic than geometric: a brief flurry of progress as easy barriers are overcome, followed by a long unsexy slog of incrementalism.

Bitcoin may well be broken someday, but the time scale is on decades, which is well beyond the horizon for high-volatility markets like Bitcoin

Some do for a while like Moore's law. Many don't. Quantum computing seems kind of stuck.