Polls can give you a sense of what New Yorkers have on their mind. Same top issue as everywhere in America since covid, cost of living. Here is a sample
Polls are not accurate. Most people that live there usually dont vote. Also the polls are a sample of a few hundred to a few thousand compared to population that lives in a city, the numbers are low. Let me not get into the biases of the poll takers and all the other stuff…
Yes polling has famously been very wrong. While there is no perfect way to get to the true answer before election day, one more indicator that can help form a picture is enthusiasm. Clearly one candidate has an enormous lead in this metric. Its translating into an amazing ground operation.
Having been a part of past NYC elections its not over till its over and then even then its probably not over. NY gives this impression of being some super happy go lucky progressive liberal place but don't be fooled. They have 100+ years of tricks up their sleeves to stop people they don't like. Enough to traumatize me at least. There are ways to battle that but I'll save that for another comment.