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by seltzered_ 243 days ago
The odds are much higher these days: https://www.livescience.com/space/astronomy/what-goes-up-mus...
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Much higher than a few decades back, but still effectively zero. Even after putting up X thousands of satellites up into orbit, they still physically cover a tiny total surface area. And the same goes for planes. So two of these colliding would be a monumental freak accident, which is why I'm still assuming it's not space debris until more information shows up.