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by harvey9 249 days ago
I can run quite useful models on my PC. Might not change the world but I got a usable transcript of an old foreign language TV show and then machine translated to English. It is not as good as professional subtitles but i wasn't willing to pay the cost of that option.
3 comments

I did something similar with Whisper a year or so ago.

9 years ago, when my now wife and I were dating, we took a long cross-country road trip, and for a lot of it, we listened to NPR's Ask Me Another (a comedy trivia game).

Anyway, on one random episode, there was a joke in the show that just perfectly fit what we were doing at that exact moment. We laughed and laughed and soon forgot about it.

Years later, I wanted to find that again and purposely recreate the same moment.

I downloaded all 300 episodes as MP3s. I used Whisper to generate text transcripts, followed by a little bit of grepping, and I found the one 4-second joke that otherwise would have been lost to time.

Now, at the price you paid to retrieve that memory, is it a viable business model?
I downloaded 2GiB of data and let a script run for 56 hours. Besides a bit of my time, which I found to be enjoyable, it didn't cost me anything.

Maybe you could argue it cost some electricity, but... In reality, it meant my computer, which runs 24/7 pulling ~185W, was running at ~300W for 56 hours... Thusly.. 300 - 185 = 115W * 56H = 6.44kWh @ $0.13 per kWh = $0.85 + tax.

So... Yes, it was very much worth $0.85 to make my wife happy.

It's a little bit more complicated than that if you were running a business.

You would want to add the cost of your network+hardware depreciating over the timeframe, and you probably can't just ignore the first 185W since if you are Anthropic it doesn't seem likely that the idle power draw would be needed if they weren't expecting to serve AI traffic.

So, let's say $0.02 per hour ($1/50 roughly). That's about $15 per month per user. Let's call it $10 per month per user since users aren't constantly hammering the service. To support a big sales and marketing engine, you would like to be selling subscriptions for $100+ per month. I'm just not sure people are prepared to pay that for AI in its current form.

Damn, I hope you realise how cheap that electricity is.
"we will be left with local models that can be sort of useful but also sort of sucks" is not really a great proposition for the obscene amount of money being invested in this.
Won’t those models gradually become outdated (for anything related to events that happen after the model was trained, new code languages or framework versions, etc) if no one is around to continually re-train them?
They should be fine for things that don't change. (which is a lot of stuff)

If you are feeding the LLM a report, and asking it for a summary, it doesn't need the latest updates from Wikipedia or Reddit.