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by tim333 247 days ago
I think it's a bit of a bubble. However, bull case:

Phase 1) Spend $400 bn / yr less a bit of income

Phase 2) ? - AGI aound 2030 - replace workforce or double output. Worth >1x world GDP or ~$100 tn ?

Phase 3) Profit!

(some discussion in "The case for AGI by 2030" https://80000hours.org/agi/guide/when-will-agi-arrive/)

Fund phase 1 by hyping it to investors