[dsco]

This is unfair and why people see HN as largely a pessimistic crowd. Just because someone might be wrong doesn't mean they are actively trying to deceit you, which I assume you mean with "bullshitting".

It's a new and shiny object and people tend to get over-excited. That's it.

[dmz73]

We currently don't really know what intelligence is so we don't have a good definition of what to expect from "AI" but anyone who has used current "AI" for anything other than chat or search should recognize that "AI" is not "I" at all. The "AI" does not "know" anything. It is really a fuzzy search on an "mp3" database (compressed with loss resulting in poor quality).

Based on that, everyone who is claiming current "AI" technology is any kind of intelligence has either fallen for the hype sold by the "AI" tech companies or is the "AI" tech company (or associated) and is trying to sell you their "AI" model subscription or getting you to invest in it.

[simianwords]

> The "AI" does not "know" anything.

How are you so confident in that? I would argue AI knows a _lot_.

[pastage]

The only thing I know is that I know nothing.

My work is basically just guessing all the time. Sure I am incredibly lucky, seeing my coworkers the Oracle and the Necromancer do their work does not instill a feeling that we know much. For some reason the powers just flow the right way when we say the right incantations.

We bullshit a lot, we try not to but the more unfamiliar the territory the more unsupported claims. This is not deceit though.

The problem with LLMs is that they need to feel success. When we can not judge our own success, when it is impossible to feel the energy where everything aligns, this is the time when we have the most failures. We take a lot for granted and just work off that but most of the time I need some kind of confirmation that what I know is correct. That is when our work is the best when we leave the unknown.