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by mg
261 days ago
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That definition would mean that smarter investors, who can think faster and further ahead, get information faster. And therefore have information now that others do not. That seems to be directly the opposite of the common definition of the EMH, which emphasizes how the market reacts to new information. And not how it produces information. For example in TFA: "the market rapidly responds to new information" Wikipedia starts the "Theoretical background" with an example on how information becomes widely available to all investors, not how one fast smart thinker generates it: Suppose that a piece of information about the value
of a stock (say, about a future merger) is widely
available to investors.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Efficient-market_hypothesis |
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How the information gets produced is irrelevant to the EMH. Whether it's obvious or takes hard thinking, either way, once investors obtain the information, they will trade based on it, and that will move the stock price.