[raverbashing]

Yup

The fundamental problem with the Drake equation is that it's frequentist, not Bayesian

Hence why you get too high sensitivity to parameters you have no way of having an estimate with a small margin of error

We "don't care" about how many civilisations are out there, we care to the point where we can interact with them.

As mentioned, it has several assumptions. "Rate of birth of sun like stars" means nothing. You can "always" have an exception for life that will throw the data off: "star too bright but with a hot Jupiter tidally locked in front of your moon, shielding it" etc

[antonvs]

> star too bright but with a hot Jupiter tidally locked in front of your moon, shielding it

It seems unlikely that such exceptions would amount to more than part of a reasonable margin of error.

[raverbashing]

It is very likely that Earth itself is the exception of the exception and is part of a "margin of error"