[jedberg]

>? the fact that a president will be in office for eight years unless they do something really stupid.

The last two terms (and this one assuming the law is actually followed) will all be 4 years.

Going back to the beginning, only 34% of the terms have been 8 years or more.

[cosmicgadget]

Imho going back before Reagan isn't really relevant. In the modern era we have Reagan (8), Bush I (4 because he raised taxes), Clinton (8), Bush II (8), Obama (8), Trump (4 because he botched covid), Biden (4). Biden would probably have been re-elected were it not for the cognitive decline, so he didn't exactly do anything wrong enough to be a single-term president.

[jedberg]

Don’t forget Trump-47 will be another four.

So of the last eight Presidents, 4 were one term. That’s still 50%