[bgwalter]

The initial ChatGPT release in 2022 was the product of 7 years of private research that in turn built on decades of public research.

Rumors say that Google wasn't far behind at the time, but didn't push releases. Perhaps because they were not that impressed by the applications or did not want "AI" to cannibalize their other products.

So it seems very likely that everything has been squeezed out of the decades of research and we have plateaued.

Desperate measures like Nvidia buying its own graphics cards through circular investment schemes do not inspire confidence either. Or Microsoft now doing CoPilot product placement ads in teenager YouTube channels. When Google launched, people just used it because it was good. This all fits very well with the demoware angle of the article.