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by lbriner 269 days ago
A lot of misunderstanding here about "why would you invest in someone who has failed?"

An investor is a gambler. Not just on past success, although I'm sure Marissa has had some successes even if people don't know them.

They gamble on: 1) Has this person got the experience (good or bad) to run a business. A failed business leader is a better gamble than someone with no experience. 2) Does this person have a strong network so they can realistically pull in some really good people? 3) Has this person raised capital before? 4) Do they have a convincing narrative about why they have failed and what they might do differently? 5) Is the potential ROI high? 6) Do I have anything else I could invest in instead with better odds?

If I think as an Investor and not as an Engineer, I am not surprised that she has succeeded and I wish her all the best.

1 comments

Could there also be 7) Can I sell or offer something to this new company and prop up my other parts of my portfolio?
aka "loss leader" or "supporting the ecosystem"

e.g. VCs invest in startups commercializing open-source foundational/infrastructure projects not only for the financial RoI, but also because it helps their portfolio companies succeed faster while maintaining a smaller headcount or spending less on non-core R&D.