[keiferski]

Right, but if you just replace AI with LLM in my comment, I'm not sure it really changes. "Real AI" might not be necessary to the two things I wrote.

I agree that all of the predictions regarding AI are probably overblown if they're just LLMs. But that might not matter if we're just talking about geopolitics.

[roxolotl]

Yea that’s fair. And if there’s enough money behind something even if it’s not great it can still bend the whole world. I think with a lot of comments like yours people take them, at least I did, to be more slanted to actually be saying something like “what’s the argument against AI 2027”. Which isn’t fair and is why the hype can be so damaging to honest discourse.

So I cannot think of a good argument of a reason this isn’t going to change the world even if that does look more like the AI as a normal technology[0] argument or simply a slopapolocypse.

0: https://knightcolumbia.org/content/ai-as-normal-technology