| Tesla in 2016: "Our goal is, and I feel pretty good about this goal, that we'll be able to do a demonstration drive of full autonomy all the way from LA to New York, from home in LA to let’s say dropping you off in Time Square in New York, and then having the car go park itself, by the end of next year" he said on a press call today. "Without the need for a single touch, including the charger." Roboticists in 2016: "Tesla's sensor technology is not capable of this." Tesla in 2025: coast-to-coast FSD crashes after 2% of the journey Roboticists in 2025: "See? We said this would happen." The reason the robot crashed doesn't come down to "it was just unlucky". The reason it crashed is because it's not sufficiently equipped for the journey. You can run it 999 more times, that will not change. If it's not a thing in the road, it's a tractor trailer crossing the road at the wrong time of day, or some other failure mode that would have been avoided if Musk were not so dogmatic about vision-only sensors. > The video does not give me that information as a prospective Tesla customer. If you think it's just a fluke, consider this tweet by the person who is directing Tesla's sensor strategy: https://www.threads.com/@mdsnprks/post/DN_FhFikyUE/media Before you put your life in the hands of Tesla autonomy, understand that everything he says in that tweet is 100% wrong. The CEO and part-time pretend engineer removed RADAR thinking he was increasing safety, when really he has no working knowledge of sensor fusion or autonomy, and he ended up making the system less safe. Leading to predictable jury decisions such as the recent one: "Tesla found partly to blame for fatal Autopilot crash" (https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c93dqpkwx4xo) So maybe you don't have enough information to put your life in the hands of one of these death traps, but controls and sensors engineers know better. |