It's important to know the context. That poll was made the very same days the Brazilian Federal Police performed search warrants against Bolsonaro and his allies. Which was a key step in finding incriminatory evidence now publicly presented and accepted during the current judgment. IMO it's no wonder 47% of respondants said so in that moment. You can also check that this was the opinion of ~82% among those who voted for Bolsonaro at the presidential election 16 months before (49% of votes). And in another question of the same poll, 99% of his voters believe ex-president Bolsonaro was being unjustly persecuted (average was 42%).
It is. Polls are not necessary. One needs simply to observe how these judges act to arrive at this conclusion.
The judges responsible for finding Bolsonaro guilty went out of their way to censor him and his supporters prior to the 2022 election. Literally unconstitutional censorship. They're the supreme court, nobody can stop them even when they violate the nation's highest laws.
It's a literal crime for these judges to engage in political and partidarian actions. Does that stop them? No. After doing literaly everything they could to put Lula in power, they went on to brag about it in public. We defeated Bolsonarism, one of them said.
Now these same judges condemn Bolsonaro, just like they condemned thousands of civilians over what was little more than a protest. Leftists once set fire to the exact same buildings but now it's a coup attempt.
Among the judges we find such impartial characters as the current president's former lawyer and a proud self-admitted communist.
This guy's sentence was pre-determined. He was guilty from the start. This circus was merely for show.
[...] What is your position on the final outcome of the trial?
49.6% The fair outcome is for Jair Bolsonaro to be convicted
36.9% The fair outcome is for Jair Bolsonaro to be acquitted
¹ https://www.cnt.org.br/pesquisas
This is one of the few polls that got the 2022 election results right, so pretty big deal.