[jmfldn]

A fun read, but wildly implausible. Perhaps there are other frontier technologies out there that get us even a fraction of this. But if we're talking this time horizon, I assume we mean LLMs or some other related thing? Are you joking?

[mandarwagh]

LLMs are the visible tip, but underneath we have multimodal models, agent frameworks, robotics integration, and rapidly falling compute costs. Frontier tech rarely looks plausible at first—flight, the internet, even smartphones did not.

The point is not that LLMs themselves take us to 2125, but that they are the spark in a chain of exponential advances that will.

[jmfldn]

Sure maybe you're right. I'm just so underwhelmed by what I see in my day job that it's hard to map error prone and limited deep learning tools to what is being described here.

I don't see a strong argument here, more just a hope that something will spark this sci fi trajectory you describe. I'm sure big enough changes are afoot, but I think that the AI we have now will turn out to be much more of a 'normal' technology than most people expect.